Probabilistic seismic vulnerability analysis of reinforced concrete columns


  • Vlad Ceangu Technical University of Civil Engineering Bucharest, Romania
  • Dan Cretu Technical University of Civil Engineering Bucharest, Romania


performance based earthquake engineering, vulnerability of reinforced concrete columns, seismic demand analysis, ductility of reinforced concrete columns


Estimating the response of reinforced concrete columns to a transitory action, represented by a ground motion, is an uncertain task. The randomness of the seismic event and that of the response should be accounted for. The probabilistic seismic vulnerability analysis is a method that one can use for estimating confidence intervals for the response of reinforced columns. In this paper a mixed method using numerical analysis results coupled with experimental data is used for the assessment of the vulnerability of reinforced concrete columns.


BERRY, M.P., PARRISH, M., EBERHARD, M.O., PEER Structural Performance Database, Version 1.0, 2004.

BERRY, M.P., EBERHARD, M.O., Performance modeling strategies for modern reinforced concrete bridge columns, Technical Report 2007/07, PEER, April 2008.

CEANGU, V., The influence of mathematical modeling of nonlinear behavior on the seismic response of civil constructions (in Romanian), PhD Thesis, UTCB, November 2017.

CEB/FIP. Model Code 2010.

ELWOOD, K.J., MOEHLE, J.P., Shake table tests and analytical studies on the gravity load collapse of reinforced concrete frames, Technical Report 2003/01, PEER, November 2003.

GALEOTA, D., GIAMMATTEO, M., MARINO, R., Strength and ductility of confined high strength concrete, Proceedings of the Tenth World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Madrid (Spain), Vol. 5, pp. 2609-2613, 1992.

JALAYER, F., CORNELL, C.A., A technical framework for probability-based demand and capacity factor design (DCFD) seismic formats, Technical Report PEER Report 2003/08 University of Berkeley, November 2003.

KOLOZVARI, K., ORAKCAL, K., WALLACE, J., Shear-flexure interaction modeling for reinforced concrete structural walls and columns under reversed cyclic loading, Technical Report 2015/12, PEER, December 2015.

MANDER, J.B., PRIESTLEY, M.J.N., PARK, R., Theoretical stress-strain model for confined concrete, Journal of Structural Engineering, 114, 8, pp. 1804-1826, 1988.

MCGUIRE, R.K., Seismic hazard and risk analysis, EERI, MNO-10, 2004.

MCKENNA, F., FENVES. G.L., SCOTT, M.H., MAZZONI, S., Open system for earthquake engineering simulation, Technical report, PEER, June 2006.

SCOTT, M.H., HAMUTCUOGLU, O.M., Numerically consistent regularization of force-based frame elements, International Journal for Numerical Methods in Engineering, 76, 1, pp. 1612-1631, 2008.

SHOME, N., CORNELL, C.A., Probabilistic seismic demand analysis of nonlinear structures, Technical Report RMS-35, Stanford University, March 1999.

SPACONE, E., FILIPPOU, F.C., TAUCER, F., Fibre beam-column model for non-linear analysis of R/C frames: Part I. Formulation, Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 25, 1, pp. 711-725, 1996.

VAMVATSIKOS, D., CORNELL, C.A., Incremental dynamic analysis, Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 31, 3, pp. 491-514, 2002.

VACAREANU, R., RADULIAN, M., IANCOVICI, M., PAVEL, F., NEAGU, C., Fore-Arc and Back-Arc ground motion prediction model for Vrancea intermediate-depth seismic source, Second European Conference in Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (2ECEES), Istanbul, Turkey, August 24-29, 2014.

ZHAO, J., SRITHARAN, S., Modeling of strain penetration effects in fiber-based analysis of reinforced concrete structures, ACI Structural Journal, 104, 2, pp. 133-141, 2007.